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Multivariate Pólya distribution

Dirichlet-Multinomial
Parameters number of trials (integer)
Support
pmf
Mean
Variance

In probability theory and statistics, the Dirichlet-multinomial distribution is a family of discrete multivariate probability distributions on a finite support of non-negative integers. It is also called the Dirichlet compound multinomial distribution (DCM) or multivariate Pólya distribution (after George Pólya). It is a compound probability distribution, where a probability vector p is drawn from a Dirichlet distribution with parameter vector , and an observation drawn from a multinomial distribution with probability vector p and number of trials N. The compounding corresponds to a Polya urn scheme. It is frequently encountered in Bayesian statistics, empirical Bayes methods and classical statistics as an overdispersed multinomial distribution.

It reduces to the Categorical distribution as a special case when n = 1. It also approximates the multinomial distribution arbitrarily well for large α. The Dirichlet-multinomial is a multivariate extension of the Beta-binomial distribution, as the multinomial and Dirichlet distributions are multivariate versions of the binomial distribution and beta distributions, respectively.


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