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2015–16 Australian region cyclone season

2015–16 Australian region cyclone season
2015-2016 Australian region cyclone season summary.png
Season summary map
Seasonal boundaries
First system formed 17 December 2015
Last system dissipated 16 March 2016
Strongest storm
Name Stan
 • Maximum winds 110 km/h (70 mph)
(10-minute sustained)
 • Lowest pressure 975 hPa (mbar)
Seasonal statistics
Tropical lows 11
Tropical cyclones 3
Severe tropical cyclones None
Total fatalities Unknown
Total damage Unknown
Related articles
Australian region tropical cyclone seasons
2013–14, 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18
Tropical low (Australian scale)
04U 2015-12-22 0310Z.jpg 04U 2015 track.png
Duration 17 December – 23 December
Peak intensity Winds not specified  1006 hPa (mbar)
Tropical low (Australian scale)
05U 2015-12-25 0205Z.jpg 05U Dec 2015 track.png
Duration 21 December – 1 January
Peak intensity 55 km/h (35 mph) (10-min)  994 hPa (mbar)
Category 2 tropical cyclone (Australian scale)
Category 1 tropical cyclone (SSHWS)
Stan Jan 30 2016 0605Z.jpg Stan 2016 track.png
Duration 27 January – 31 January
Peak intensity 110 km/h (70 mph) (10-min)  975 hPa (mbar)
Category 2 tropical cyclone (Australian scale)
Tropical storm (SSHWS)
Uriah 2016-02-14 0415Z.jpg Uriah 2016 track.png
Duration 9 February – 14 February (Exited basin)
Peak intensity 95 km/h (60 mph) (10-min)  982 hPa (mbar)
Category 2 tropical cyclone (Australian scale)
Tropical storm (SSHWS)
Tatiana 2016-02-11 0310Z (Original).jpg Tatiana 2016 track.png
Duration 9 February – 14 February
Peak intensity 95 km/h (60 mph) (10-min)  983 hPa (mbar)
Tropical low (Australian scale)
12U 2016-03-05 0350Z.jpg 12U 2016 track.png
Duration 1 March – 6 March
Peak intensity 65 km/h (40 mph) (10-min)  1000 hPa (mbar)
Tropical low (Australian scale)
Tropical storm (SSHWS)
14U 2016-03-15 0110Z.jpg 14U 2016 track.png
Duration 14 March – 16 March
Peak intensity 55 km/h (35 mph) (10-min)  998 hPa (mbar)

The 2015–16 Australian region cyclone season was the least active tropical cyclone season since reliable records started during 1969, with only three named tropical cyclones developing in the region. Reasons for the low activity during the year included a positive Indian Ocean Dipole occurring and the 2014–16 El Niño event. Ahead of the season starting; the Australian Bureau of Meteorology predicted that there was a 91% chance that the season would be below average. As the 2015–16 tropical cyclone year opened on 1 July 2015, the newly named Tropical Cyclone Raquel moved south-westward into the Australian region. Over the next couple of days, the system meandered around 160°E and moved through the Solomon Islands, before it was last noted on 5 July. The basin subsequently remained quiet with only several weak tropical lows developing, before the first named tropical cyclone of the season was named Stan during 29 January 2016.

Stan subsequently made landfall on Western Australia and impacted various commodities including oil, natural gas and iron ore. However, impacts were limited due to the low population of the region. The precursor tropical low to Tropical Cyclone Uriah developed over the Indian Ocean, within a monsoon trough of low pressure during 9 February. The system subsequently developed further and was named Uriah during 13 February, before it moved out of the region during the following day. Tropical Cyclone Tatiana developed into a tropical cyclone, during 11 February while it was located over the Coral Sea. Over the next few days, the system remained over water and dissipated during 15 February after it had produced some powerful, long period swells along Queensland beaches. After Tatiana dissipated four tropical lows occurred in the region before the season ended on 30 April, including the remnant tropical low of Severe Tropical Cyclone Winston.

Ahead of the cyclone season, the FMS, the BoM, Meteo France, New Zealand's MetService and National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA) and various other Pacific Meteorological services, all contributed towards the Island Climate Update tropical cyclone outlook that was released during October 2015. The outlook took into account the strong El Niño conditions that had been observed across the Pacific and analogue seasons that had ENSO neutral and weak El Niño conditions occurring during the season. The outlook called for an above average number of tropical cyclones for the 2015–16 season, with eleven to thirteen named tropical cyclones to occur between 135°E and 120°W compared to an average of 10-12. At least six of the tropical cyclones were expected to become category 3 severe tropical cyclones, while four could become category 4 severe tropical cyclones. It was also noted that Category 5 severe tropical cyclones, with 10-minute sustained windspeeds of 196 km/h (122 mph) were known to occur during El Nino events.


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