The Signal and the Noise
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| Author | Nate Silver |
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| Country | United States |
| Language | English |
| Genre | Non-fiction |
| Publisher | Penguin Group |
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Publication date
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27 September 2012 |
| Pages | 534 |
| Awards | Phi Beta Kappa Award in Science, 2013 |
| ISBN | |
The Signal and the Noise : Why Most Predictions Fail – but Some Don't (alternatively stylized as The Signal and the Noise : Why So Many Predictions Fail – but Some Don't) is a 2012 book by Nate Silver detailing the art of using probability and statistics as applied to real-world circumstances. The book includes richly detailed case studies from baseball, elections, climate change, the financial crash, poker, and weather forecasting.
Published in the United States on September 27, 2012, The Signal and The Noise reached the New York Times Best Sellers list as No. 12 for non-fiction hardback books after its first week in print. It dropped to No. 20 in the second week, before rising to No. 13 in the third, and remaining on the non-fiction hardback top 15 list for the following thirteen weeks, with a highest weekly ranking of No. 4. The book's already strong sales soared right after election night, November 6, jumping 800% and becoming the second best seller on Amazon.com.
The Signal and the Noise (print edition) was named Amazon's No. 1 Best NonFiction Book for 2012. It was named by the Wall Street Journal as one of the ten best books of nonfiction published in 2012.
The book was first released in the United Kingdom in April 2013, with the title The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction, in hardback under an Allen Lane imprint and in paperback under a Penguin imprint.
It was published in Brazil in a Portuguese translation, O sinal e o ruído, in June 2013. A German edition was released in September 2013 by the publisher Heine Verlag, using a somewhat different main title: The Calculation of the Future. An Italian version, Il segnale e il rumore. Arte e scienza della previsione, appeared in October 2013.
The book was published in simplified Chinese characters by China Citic Press in Beijing as well as in traditional Chinese characters by Suncolor Press in Taipei in Fall 2013. It was published in Japanese in November 2013. A Spanish translation appeared in April 2014, under the title La señal y el ruido.
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