In statistics, the Dickey–Fuller test tests the null hypothesis of whether a unit root is present in an autoregressive model. The alternative hypothesis is different depending on which version of the test is used, but is usually stationarity or trend-stationarity. It is named after the statisticians David Dickey and Wayne Fuller, who developed the test in 1979.
A simple AR(1) model is
where is the variable of interest, is the time index, is a coefficient, and is the error term. A unit root is present if . The model would be non-stationary in this case.