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Allan Lichtman


Allan Jay Lichtman (born April 4, 1947) is an American political historian who teaches at American University in Washington, D.C. In 2006, he ran for the U.S. Senate in Maryland.

He was named by American University as the Distinguished Professor of History in 2011, and as Outstanding Scholar/Teacher for 1992–93, the highest faculty award at that school.

He is the author of numerous books and has published over 100 articles. A model he created with Russian seismologist Vladimir Keilis-Borok, known as The Keys to the White House, has accurately predicted the popular vote winner of all of the U.S. presidential elections from 1984 , 2012|2012]] but not 2016. . He was wrong in predicting in the election in 2000.

Lichtman was born in the Brownsville neighborhood of Brooklyn in New York City. He graduated from Stuyvesant High School. Lichtman received his B.A. degree from Brandeis University in History in 1967, and graduated Phi Beta Kappa and Magna Cum Laude while also running track and wrestling for the school. Lichtman received his Ph.D. from Harvard University as a Graduate Prize Fellow in 1973, also in history.

Lichtman began teaching at American University in 1973, rising to chair of the History Department, and was named Scholar/Professor of the Year in 1993.


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